Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 3043 · ATL → MLB
departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MLB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MLB?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MLB
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.10 in
MLB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.