Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3045 · ATL → ECP
departs 10:41 AM ET · arrives 10:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.10 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.