Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3048
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3048 · ECP → ATL
departs 9:22 AM CT · arrives 11:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Other factors
↓
9am departures from ECP are usually not late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.05 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.