Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3050
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3050 · ATL → GSO
departs 4:46 PM ET · arrives 6:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at GSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at GSO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
GSO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.