Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3051 · VPS → ATL
departs 9:21 AM CT · arrives 11:34 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.7 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
9am departures from VPS are usually not late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.94 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.