Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3069
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3069 · ATL → BNA
departs 8:31 AM ET · arrives 8:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BNA that day
↓
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are usually not late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.