Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3071 · ATL → AVL
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 7:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
6pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.17 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.