Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3078
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3078 · LEX → ATL
departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 5:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.