Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3083
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3083 · VPS → ATL
departs 5:06 PM CT · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 933 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.60 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.