Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3085
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3085 · VPS → ATL
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 8:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.72 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.