Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3096
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3096 · ATL → LEX
departs 11:03 AM ET · arrives 12:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 433 ft forecast at LEX that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into LEX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 433 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.