DL 3113 · ATL → TRI

departs 3:03 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TRI?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at TRI that day

↓ TRI usually runs smoothly

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

TRI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3113 · ATL → TRI

Odds over time

How late will it get to TRI?