Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3114
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3114 · ECP → ATL
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 8:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 6%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP
↑
ECP is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from ECP are usually not late
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.