Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3115 LANDED 4:21 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3

DL 3115 · ATL → SRQ

took off 3:17 PM ET · landed 4:21 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3115 · ATL → SRQ

Odds over time