Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3154 · DAB → ATL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DAB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DAB is prone to delays
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from DAB are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAB (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.