Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3159 LANDED 4:03 PM ET, ~55 MIN EARLY

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 3159 · BNA → ATL

took off 2:20 PM CT · landed 4:03 PM ET (scheduled 2:51 PM CT → 5:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3159 · BNA → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?