Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3163 LANDED 2:53 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 3163 · ATL → BHM

took off 3:20 PM ET · landed 2:53 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

BHM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3163 · ATL → BHM

Odds over time