Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3173
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 3173 · ATL → GSO
departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 9:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at GSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into GSO at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.16 in
GSO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.