Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 364 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 364 · DTW → BZN

departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 2:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 364 · DTW → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?