Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 443 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

DL 443 · LAX → HNL

departs 6:37 PM PT · arrives 9:22 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 443 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?