DL 468 · ATL → LGA

took off 8:19 PM ET · landed 9:53 PM ET (scheduled 7:00 PM ET → 9:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 468 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?