Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 544 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

DL 544 · DTW → LAS

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 544 · DTW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?