Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 545 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

DL 545 · ATL → SFO

departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:49 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SFO that day

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 545 · ATL → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?