Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 854SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
DL 854 · ATL → SGF
departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 3:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.