tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 854 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

DL 854 · SGF → ATL

departs 4:08 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ATL?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.