Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 869SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
DL 869 · LGA → DFW
departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 3:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±3 pts+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.