DL 8904 · LEX → ATL

took off 12:09 AM ET · landed 12:58 AM ET (scheduled 10:18 PM ET → 11:59 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LEX is prone to delays

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LEX that day

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ATL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8904 · LEX → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?