DL 8953 · CMH → EWR

took off 11:34 PM ET · landed 12:39 AM ET (scheduled 10:53 PM ET → 12:26 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8953 · CMH → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?