Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 895 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

DL 895 · ATL → LAX

departs 12:40 PM ET · arrives 2:12 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

LAX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 895 · ATL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?