Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 928 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

DL 928 · SEA → ANC

departs 1:40 PM PT · arrives 4:25 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 928 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?