Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1165
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1165 · SJU → PHL
departs 3:10 PM AT · arrives 7:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 32%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from SJU are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.