Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1168
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1168 · ATL → RDU
departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 8:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.43 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.