Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1175 · DEN → SEA
departs 9:13 AM MT · arrives 11:20 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.