Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1404 · IAH → ATL
departs 6:18 AM CT · arrives 9:44 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from IAH are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.37 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.