Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1426
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1426 · SAN → DFW
departs 6:35 AM PT · arrives 12:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SAN are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.