Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1483 LANDED 8:10 AM MT, ~28 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

F9 1483 · ORD → DEN

took off 6:52 AM CT · landed 8:10 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1483 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time