Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1496
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1496 · IAH → FLL
departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 12:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from IAH are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.