Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1668
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1668 · CVG → TPA
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 1:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
TPA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.03 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.