Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1670
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1670 · ATL → RDU
departs 10:30 PM ET · arrives 12:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 3,800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.43 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.