Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1690 · TPA → TTN
departs 12:58 PM ET · arrives 3:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at TTN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TTN?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TTN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.32 in
TTN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.