Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1742
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1742 · IAH → RDU
departs 9:40 AM CT · arrives 1:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 25%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.12 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.