Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1745
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 1745 · SJU → MCO
departs 8:37 PM AT · arrives 11:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 37%
Thu 10/8 22%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.