Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 1746 · MCO → SJU
departs 4:35 PM ET · arrives 7:42 PM AT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 58%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.