Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1749
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 1749 · MCO → CVG
departs 9:24 PM ET · arrives 11:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.