Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1846
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1846 · CVG → ATL
departs 12:53 PM ET · arrives 2:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.