Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1951 · MCO → DFW
departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 11:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.18 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.