Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1952
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1952 · DFW → MCO
departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 8:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 87%
Sat 10/3
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.35 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.