Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
F9 2051 · ATL → MSY
departs 3:44 PM ET · arrives 4:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.22 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.