Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 2310 · MCO → BWI
departs 9:58 PM ET · arrives 12:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 27%
Thu 10/8 21%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.