Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2412
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2412 · ONT → IAH
departs 9:32 AM PT · arrives 2:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.